Conference program



Wednesday 1/09 20h30 - 22h00 Welcome & Registration   (in the foyer of the "Provatari" building)
Thursday 2/09 08h30 - 11h40 Session 1: Extremes and Large Deviations in Actuarial Science
15h30 - 19h00 Session 2: Non-life Insurance
19h00 - 20h00 Meeting of the Organizing Committee
Friday 3/09 08h30 - 11h20 Session 3: Advances in Incomplete Markets
12h00 - 13h00 Poster session
Saturday 4/09 08h30 - 12h00 Session 4: Modelling Dependence in Actuarial Science
12h30 - 13h30 Open Meeting of the Scientific Committee
15h30 - 18h40 Session 5: Risk and Control
20h00 Gala dinner
Sunday 5/09 08h30 - 12h00 Session 6: Life, Pension and Health Insurance
12h40 - 13h30 Closing ceremony




Session 1: Extremes and Large Deviations in Actuarial Science
Chairman H. Drees
08h30 - 09h10 C. Klüppelberg
Subexponential Risk Models: Old Ideas and New Insight
09h10 - 09h30 D. Konstantinides, T. Mikosch
Large Deviations and Ruin Probabilities for Solutions to Stochastic Recurrence Equations with Heavy-tailed Innovations
09h30 - 09h50 J. F. Collamore
Small-time Ruin Estimates for a Financial Process Modulated by a Harris Recurrent Markov Chain
09h50 - 10h10 A. Charpentier
Extremes and Dependence, a Copula Approach
10h10 - 10h40 Break
10h40 - 11h00 F. Bonifacio
An Automatic Method for Detection of Extreme Values: Rules and Applications
11h00 - 11h20 E. Delafosse, J. Beirlant, A. Guillou
Estimation of the Extreme Value Index and High Quantiles under Random Censoring
11h20 - 11h40 T. Pereira
On Modelling US Dollar/Pound Sterling Exchange Rate: Stochastic Volatility and Extreme Values

Session 2: Non-life Insurance
Chairman R. Verrall
15h30 - 16h10 R. Nelsen
Copulas: An Introduction to their Properties and Applications
16h10 - 16h30 J. S. K. Chan, S. T. B. Choy, U. E. Makov
The Growing Triagle Techniques for Choosing a Method of Loss Reserves
16h30 - 16h50 P. de Jong
Forecasting General Insurance Liabilities
16h50 - 17h10 A. L. Pretorius, A. J. van der Merwe
A Non-parametric Dirichlet Process Prior Specified for Premiums Based on Automobile Insurance Data
17h10 - 17h40 Break
17h40 - 18h00 A. Makroglou
Numerical Solution of Some Second Order Integro-differential Equations Arising in Ruin Theory
18h00 - 18h20 D. G. Konstantinides, S. G. Meintanis
Goodness-of-fit Tests for the Generalized Pareto Distribution Based on Transforms
18h20 - 18h40 G. Pitselis, M. Maragou
Investigating Insurance Insolvency and Fraud
18h40 - 19h00 E. Bronstein
Insurance Premiums and Demand Function

Session 3: Advances in Incomplete Markets
Chairman Th. Zariphopoulou
08h30 - 09h10 W. Schachermayer
A Note on Arbitrage and Closed Convex Cones
09h10 - 09h30 T. Hoedemakers, G. Darkiewicz, J. Dhaene, M. Goovaerts
Life Annuities with Stochastic Interest Rates
09h30 - 09h50 L. Ballotta
Alternative Fair Valuation Models for Options Embedded in Life Insurance Contracts
09h50 - 10h10 E. Biffis, P. Millossovich
The fair value of the Guarranteed Annuity Options
10h10 - 10h40 Break
10h40 - 11h00 C. A. Valle, H. S. Migon
Bayesian Modelling of Time-varying Variances: a Survey with Applications to the Brazilian Market
11h00 - 11h20 W. Szatzschneider
Comments about CIR Model

Session 4: Modelling Dependence in Actuarial Science
Chairman C. Klüppelberg
08h30 - 09h10 H. Drees
Dependence Between Extreme Losses
09h10 - 09h30 M. J. Goovaerts, R. Kaas, R. J. A. Laeven, Q. Tang
A Comonotonic Image of Independence for Additive Risk Measures
09h30 - 09h50 N. Bäuerle, A. Müller
Stochastic Orders and Risk Measures: Consistiency and Bounds
09h50 - 10h10 J. Einmahl, J. Segers, B. Werker
Efficient Estimation within Parametric Copula Models when Margins are Unknown
10h10 - 10h40 Break
10h40- 11h00 A. Tsanakas, Z. Landsman
Elliptical Distributions and Stochastic Orders
11h00 - 11h20 E. A. Valdez
The Iterated Tail Conditional Expectation for the Log-Elliptical Loss Process
11h20 - 11h40 T. Cacoullos
Premiums for Partial Coverage Insurance Policies Against Correlated Claims
11h40 - 12h00 R. J. A. Laeven, M. J. Goovaerts, T. Hoedemakers
Some Asymptotic Results for Sums of Dependent Random Variables with Actuarial Applications

Session 5: Risk and Control
Chairman S. Asmussen
15h30 - 16h10 R. Korn
Optimal Portfolios: New Variations of an Old Theme
16h10 - 16h30 Yu. Krvavych, M. Sherris
Enhancing Insurer Value through Reinsurance Optimization
16h30 - 16h50 P. Azcue, N. Muler
Optimal Reinsurance and Dividend Distribution in a Compound-Poisson Process: Viscosity Solutions and Numerical Methods
16h50 - 17h10 N. E. Frangos, S. D. Vrontos, A. N. Yannacopoulos
Insurance Control for a simple model with Liabilities of the Fractional Brownian Motion Type
17h10 - 17h40 Break
17h40 - 18h00 D. Silvestrov, A. Malyarernko, E. Silvestrova
Stochastic Modelling of Insurance Business with Dynamical Control of Investments
18h00 - 18h20 M. Morales
Risk Theory with the Generalized Inverse Gaussian Levy Process
18h20 - 18h40 P. Volf
On Intensity Model and Outlier Detection for Compound Point Process

Session 6: Life, Pension and Health Insurance
Chairman H. Gerber
08h30 - 09h10 M. Steffensen
Differential Systems in Finance and Life Insurance
09h10 - 09h30 P. H. Nielsen
Optimal Bonus and Portfolio Strategies in Participating Life Insurance in a Stochastic Environment
09h30 - 09h50 A. R. Bacinello
Modelling the Surrender Conditions in Equity-linked Life Insurance
09h50 - 10h10 E. Biffis, P. Millossovich
A Bidimensional Approach to Mortality Risk
10h10 - 10h40 Break
10h40 - 11h00 E. Bremze, V. Gribkova, A. Matvejevs
Defined Contribution Pension Plan Modelling with "SIMULINK"
11h00 - 11h20 C. R. Neves, H. S. Migon
Mortality Rates Bayesian Graduation
11h20 - 11h40 M. Economou, S. Haberman
Pension Funding, allowing for the Pension Accrual Density Function
11h40- 12h00 S. Vanduffel, J. Dhaene, M. Goovaerts
On the Evaluation of "Saving-consuming" Plans

Poster session







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