Aims
To understand and reconstitute the dynamic of populations in space and time, while taking interaction of the phenomena into account. Scale: national, regional and local populations; observation unit: the household and the individual (micro-simulations). Forward-looking reflection aimed at developing hypotheses and the putting in place of scenarios. Measuring uncertainty.
![](../../images/espo/ligne.gif)
Main themes
A comparison of currently used definitions and approaches, with a brief history of demographic perspectives and a critical analysis of the "ex-post" outcomes of earlier perspectives.
The basic principles of the method of demographic components and their application to substantive cases. A regional matricial analysis. Projections in respect of households and micro-populations. Elements of sectoral perspectives.
![](../../images/espo/ligne.gif)
Content and teaching methods
Principles and methods illustrated by animated software where students may observe the dynamic transformations of departure-structures, depending on the choice of scenarios and use of scenarios. Work on spreadsheets and with the help of simulation software.
![](../../images/espo/ligne.gif)
Other information (prerequisite, evaluation (assessment methods), course materials recommended readings, ...)
Assessment: A complete population perspective (subject to be chosen together with Course DEMO 3485).
Pre-requirement: Course DEMO 3426 ("Demographic analysis: mortality, fertility, migration and structures").
![](../../images/espo/ligne.gif)
Other credits in programs
DEMO3DA
|
Diplôme d'études approfondies en démographie
|
(3 credits)
|
Mandatory
|
DEMO3DS
|
Diplôme d'études spécialisées en populations et sociétés
|
(3 credits)
|
Mandatory
|
![](../../images/espo/ligne.gif)
|